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Land in Tennesse

As a rule of thumb, clearcut Tennessee land (recently stripped of trees) is selling for less than $1k per acre, mostly wooded land is selling for around $1k per acre, farm land without a house and about half cleared of timber is selling for around $2k per acre, and farm land with a house is selling for $3-4k per acre depending on the value of the house and the other buildings on the property.

Nationwide, real estate should remain depressed well into 2011 according to the latest report from Bloomberg:

U.S. home foreclosures climbed to a record in April, a sign that government mortgage relief efforts have yet to turn the tide of property seizures, according to a report by RealtyTrac Inc….Unemployment of 9.9 percent and a rising percentage of homes worth less than the mortgages on them are combining to thwart a housing recovery, according to RealtyTrac. About 5 million delinquent loans will probably end up in the foreclosure process in addition to the 1.2 million homes already taken back by lenders, Sharga said. Defaults may not peak until 2011 depending on how lenders process them, Sharga said. "The underlying conditions -- mostly unemployment and millions of 'underwater' loans -- haven't improved," he said. --Businessweek link

This translates into considerably more housing inventory next year, and house (and land) prices will continue to drop. Not that it matters in Tennessee when they are already at rock bottom prices. But more inventory means more choices.

Fruit trees

  • Stark Brothers. Recommended by my brother. Delivered good trees to plant.

Farming

  • Farm Basics: Drain Tile 101. See also: Crop Drainage. Here are some vendors: Tileplow.com, FarmDrainagePlows.com. The drainage pipe (with tiny holes) is buried 3-4 feet deep using a very powerful tractor (140 hp at least) with tile plow attachment.
  • The Triumph of the Family Farm. Posted July/August, 2012. In 2010, of all the farms in the United States with at least $1 million in revenues, 88 percent were family farms, and they accounted for 79 percent of production. Large-scale farmers today are sophisticated businesspeople who use GPS equipment to guide their combines, biotechnology to boost their yields, and futures contracts to hedge their risk. They are also pretty rich...In the U.S. and Canada in 2010 and 2011, farm incomes have been booming. U.S. net farming incomes rose more than 20 percent in each of those years. Farmers are flush with cash.
  • Cropland Leasing Considerations. From The University of Tennessee Agricultural Extension Service.There are two basic type of leases with cropland. They are the cash lease and the crop-share lease. The most common landowner-tenant share agreements in Tennessee are the 1/3 - 2/3, 1/4- 3/4 and 1/2 - 1/2 share arrangements. The cash rental arrangement generally specifies a fixed annual dollar rent, although a flexible cash rent agreement is sometimes used and has definite advantages.

Tree Farming

  • EGW tree planting method. In PDF format. See video: Planting by the Blueprint.
  • Tree farm idea . A tree farm can be easily established in Tennessee. A tree farm is a 15-20 year investment if you are looking to plant valuable hardwood trees (black walnut, black cherry, and white oak) using ideas like Sonic Bloom. Need a solar powered system to charge a 12 volt battery. Need to use a charge controller to not harm the battery.
  • Measuring Logs and Lumber. A useful article on measurements. See here: A Hardwood Log Grading Handbook for using the "board foot" method and Estimating Weight of Logs and Standing Timber for using the "weight" method. Using the Doyle method for a target diameter of 20 inches, a 16-foot length yields 256 BF (board feet). Thus, to get 1,000 BF would require a total of 4 each of 16-foot sections.
  • High-grade hardwood lumber. High grade logs must be long, large in diameter and contain mostly clear (of defects) wood. Larger logs are also preferred in log grading because they cost less to process per unit of lumber produced.
  • Timber Owner Market Guide ($150 per year) provides valuable data about timber prices to timberland owners. Here is a sample March/April 2012 issue of the guide.
  • 2012 Indiana Forest Products Price Report and Trend Analysis. Black walnut lumber prices were moving up in 2011, but have now fallen off by 16 percent from last summer. Demand is down based on consumer preferences in the U.S. and overseas. White oak lumber prices remain soft, but up slightly so far this year. Yellow poplar is making a bit of a comeback, as the demand for millwork firms up in response to growing increases in construction. Significant price increases, as always, are unlikely because of the readily available timber supply and ease of processing this species.

    Black Walnut prices per one thousand board feet (MBF) on July 2012 was $1,815, $905, and $505 for lumber grades of Premium, #1C, and #2A, respectively. White Oak prices per MBF was $1,015, $555, and $410 for the same respective lumber grades, and Yellow Poplar prices per MBF was $700, $445, and $310.

Hay farming

Hay is a five-year crop that is harvested anywhere from 3-5 times during the summer months. Pricing is dependant on the quality of hay; pure alfalfa sells the highest, and typically the price decreases from there depending on the ratio of alfalfa in the bale, and the "leafiness of the bale". Hay usually takes the first year to establish itself. Therefore it is likely to only harvest a small amount (20-30 bales as compared to over 200 bales per acre) in the first cutting of the first year. Growers will typically rotate to corn when a stand is spent, usually for two or three years.

On dryland, seed 16 to 18 lbs/acre. On irrigated fields, seed up to 25 lbs/acre. You will get an extra 1.5 to 2 tons per year from the heavier seeding rate. It only takes an extra half a ton of hay to pay for the additional seed, so it's well worth it. For best results, needed lime should be incorporated six months or more before seeding. Grass seed and a companion crop of oats are sown with a grain drill or other effective seeding technique.

Good hay will sell for $130/ton in a regular year. At a typical 4 tons per acre of hay, that's $520 per acre. Another example: “My alfalfa yields 30 to 40 bales per acre per cutting. If we get five cuttings and if the hay sells for $4 a bale, one acre might produce 150 to 200 bales worth $600 to $800 an acre."

  • Crop Profile for Alfalfa in Tennessee. In 2004, Tennessee yielded approximately 3.1 tons per acre for the season. Acreage was valued at $117 per ton. Warm weather and timely rain showers resulted in an average number of cuttings per field for 2003 of two and a half cuttings per acre for the season. The majority of alfalfa produced is used for dairy cattle with the remainder for horses. Annual production costs are approximately $38.00 after subtracting $165 value of a partial crop during the establishment year. Total production cost of $278 for a four year stand.
  • Establishing alfalfa the no-till way.
  • Estimated Costs of Pasture and Hay Production. Breaks down the costs involved in seed, fertilizer, etc.

    Testimony of one: I would not attempt to grow alfalfa unless you have the time and resources to maintain it. It requires a lot of maintenance (spraying, mowing, picky about pH and fertilizer) and is very attractive to pests that can destroy it quickly (learned about army worms the hard way). It's not like wheat or oats that you can just seed, fertilize and pretty much forget about until it goes to seed. After mowing, the cuttings need to be removed so unless you can cut it for hay or cut it very often the thatch will kill it. Plus you can't just come back in an existing stand and overseed again. The growing alfalfa will produce a chemical that will kill any new alfalfa you try to overseed. It's great food for deer and turkeys but requires much more work on the part of the food plotter."

Notes:

Properties for sale that I looked at in 2010